Public institutions make decisions that shape long-term societal outcomes, yet accelerating climate, technological, and social changes challenge the assumption that the future will be a straightforward continuation of the present. This requires structured methods to examine alternative futures, assess emerging transitions, and ensure that short-term actions remain consistent with long-term objectives. Foresight provides such an approach. Instead of predicting specifi c outcomes, it systematically explores possible and plausible futures, using signals, scenarios, and structured analysis to inform present decisions. The Three Horizons framework supports this work by clarifying how current systems evolve, how innovations emerge during transitions, and how long-term goals can guide strategic direction. Tools such as Local Digital Twins strengthen foresight processes by making system inter- dependencies visible and allowing institutions to test interventions in simulated environments. This learning unit introduces foresight as a systems practice for public governance. Through the Three Horizons model and its practical canvas, learners build institutional foresight capacity and learn to connect immediate planning with long-term, sustainable value creation.
T4R - Learning journey
Learning with Microlearning Units
Foresight: Envision and Planning for the Future
FRAMEWORK:
EDUCATION
MODULE:
Creating Public Value
EQF 6
EDU-206
| EDU-200 | third loop |
|---|---|
| Foresight: Envision and Planning for the Future | Learner investigates emerging futures through structured foresight methods. Learner contrasts horizon-based transition options. Learner designs anticipatory strategies that weave stakeholder perspectives together with systemic insights, ensuring that immediate decisions correspond with credible long-term public value pathways. |




